What was the dynamics of the stock market in July 2012?
Z.ShafikovaZakiya Shafikova, general director of "investment company" Elemte "expert TatCenter.ru portal on the stock market. (This report was prepared with the support of the federal partner of" Aton "):
- The Russian stock market in July as a month earlier, sought to make to strengthen its position, however, the increase was much less confident. The main MICEX and RTS, after updating the maximum values in early July, during the month remained near the levels achieved, and were followed by attempts to increase quite significantly reduced. As a result, the MICEX index gained only 1.4% and the RTS index rose 2%, significantly slowing the rate of increase compared to June.
The volatility of our sites was caused by an abundance of important events abroad and in different directions in response to these foreign investors. Much attention continues to be shackled to a problem in Europe, as well as state of the economy of China and the United States. Markets have provided support to the expectations of major central banks to support the economies of the new measures, while the fears of worsening situation in countries such as Greece and Spain, by contrast, have contributed to significant sales. Several stabilize the situation at the end of the month helped a statement by the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi of the intention to do everything necessary to maintain the euro and the eurozone, which later joined by other world financial and political leaders.
In late July, so once again prevailed in the markets optimism generated by hopes for support from central banks, as well as the possible introduction of additional mechanisms for European leaders to overcome the crisis. However, this does not guarantee that investors will not disappoint the authorities and that the latter was soon up to their promises. Players on the rise it is worth remembering the high volatility of the markets and the risks of repeat sales.
S.SemenovSergey Semyonov, director of the Graduate School of Alpari traders, expert portal TatCenter.ru Market FOREX:
- The situation in Europe is still not happy, which is reflected in the assessments of rating agencies. In this case there is not only economic but also political factors. U.S. now do not need a competitor in the form of the euro, Europe's problems and increase the demand for the dollar and U.S. government bonds. Thus at the North American states their problem with the budget deficit, and all the world's major credit rating agencies are American.
In addition to the problem of Greece is actively discussing the issue in Spain and Italy, as well as possible measures to stabilize the situation. Unemployment is high, the economy is in recession. The ECB has lowered the rate, was also made several statements in support of a single euro. However, lower rates led only to a weakening of the euro against the dollar to the level of 1,21-1,22, with the evil tongues say that Greece could leave the euro zone as early as September. Course is likely to further strengthening of the dollar against the euro, the immediate goal is the level of 1.17.
Strengthening of the dollar against the euro will be negative for the commodity markets, which have supported the military-political risks in the Middle East. The stabilization of the situation in the oil market had a positive impact on the course of the Russian ruble. The ruble is still a paper oil, the whole of July, the Russian ruble against the U.S. dollar was stable. The Russian ruble as several strengthened against the euro, which was caused, above all, the weakening of the euro in global financial markets. Of course, if oil prices remain stable, while the dollar continues to strengthen against the euro, the euro will continue to weaken against the Russian ruble.
Z.ShafikovaZakiya Shafikova, general director of "investment company" Elemte "expert TatCenter.ru portal on the stock market. (This report was prepared with the support of the federal partner of" Aton "):
- The Russian stock market in July as a month earlier, sought to make to strengthen its position, however, the increase was much less confident. The main MICEX and RTS, after updating the maximum values in early July, during the month remained near the levels achieved, and were followed by attempts to increase quite significantly reduced. As a result, the MICEX index gained only 1.4% and the RTS index rose 2%, significantly slowing the rate of increase compared to June.
The volatility of our sites was caused by an abundance of important events abroad and in different directions in response to these foreign investors. Much attention continues to be shackled to a problem in Europe, as well as state of the economy of China and the United States. Markets have provided support to the expectations of major central banks to support the economies of the new measures, while the fears of worsening situation in countries such as Greece and Spain, by contrast, have contributed to significant sales. Several stabilize the situation at the end of the month helped a statement by the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi of the intention to do everything necessary to maintain the euro and the eurozone, which later joined by other world financial and political leaders.
In late July, so once again prevailed in the markets optimism generated by hopes for support from central banks, as well as the possible introduction of additional mechanisms for European leaders to overcome the crisis. However, this does not guarantee that investors will not disappoint the authorities and that the latter was soon up to their promises. Players on the rise it is worth remembering the high volatility of the markets and the risks of repeat sales.
S.SemenovSergey Semyonov, director of the Graduate School of Alpari traders, expert portal TatCenter.ru Market FOREX:
- The situation in Europe is still not happy, which is reflected in the assessments of rating agencies. In this case there is not only economic but also political factors. U.S. now do not need a competitor in the form of the euro, Europe's problems and increase the demand for the dollar and U.S. government bonds. Thus at the North American states their problem with the budget deficit, and all the world's major credit rating agencies are American.
In addition to the problem of Greece is actively discussing the issue in Spain and Italy, as well as possible measures to stabilize the situation. Unemployment is high, the economy is in recession. The ECB has lowered the rate, was also made several statements in support of a single euro. However, lower rates led only to a weakening of the euro against the dollar to the level of 1,21-1,22, with the evil tongues say that Greece could leave the euro zone as early as September. Course is likely to further strengthening of the dollar against the euro, the immediate goal is the level of 1.17.
Strengthening of the dollar against the euro will be negative for the commodity markets, which have supported the military-political risks in the Middle East. The stabilization of the situation in the oil market had a positive impact on the course of the Russian ruble. The ruble is still a paper oil, the whole of July, the Russian ruble against the U.S. dollar was stable. The Russian ruble as several strengthened against the euro, which was caused, above all, the weakening of the euro in global financial markets. Of course, if oil prices remain stable, while the dollar continues to strengthen against the euro, the euro will continue to weaken against the Russian ruble.
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