Gross national product of Russia in 2012 will increase by 3,5 percent against 4,2 percent in 2011. Such estimation contains in the forecast of social and economic development for 2012-2014, prepared Ministry of economic development and trade of the Russian Federation.
In 2013 gross national product growth at level of 4,2 percent, in 2014 - 4,6 percent again expect, Andrey Klepach has declared замглавы the ministries. Estimations of growth of gross national product for 2012-2013 are lowered in comparison with what are put in the confirmed forecast for 2011-2013 (3,9 and 4,5 percent accordingly), - informs "Interfax".
The mid-annual price for oil in the forecast for 2012-2014 is put at level of 93 dollars, 95 dollars, 97,3 dollars in comparison with 105 dollars in 2011. Клепач has declared earlier that the price for oil, according to Ministry of economic development and trade, will be above 100 dollars and in 2012-2014, but the base forecast is based on lower, conservative estimation.
The mid-annual dollar exchange rate will be stable and will make 27,9 roubles for 1 dollar in 2012-2013 and 28 roubles in 2014 in comparison with 28,4 roubles in 2011.
Growth промпроизводства for 2012-2014 is put in the forecast at level 3,5, 4 and 4,2 percent accordingly (in 2011 - 5,4 percent), growth of a turn of retail trade - 4,5, 5,3 and 6 percent (3,8 percent), growth of real incomes of the population - 4, 4,4 and 5 percent (3,8 percent).
Export in 2012 will decrease from 503,8 billion dollars in 2011 to 494,4 billion dollars, in 2013 will grow to 512,3 billion dollars, in 2014 - to 536,5 billion dollars. Import will be thus forward to grow - from 308,7 billion dollars in 2011 to 352,4 billion dollars, 396 billion dollars and 444,6 billion dollars in 2012-2014 accordingly.
The forecast on inflation is left without changes: 5-6 percent in 2012, 4,5-5,5 percent in 2013 and 4-5 percent in 2014 in comparison with 7-7,5 percent in 2011.
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